Dark Reading is part of the Informa Tech Division of Informa PLC

This site is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them.Informa PLC's registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 8860726.

Vulnerabilities / Threats

Botnets Make Early Splash In New Year

As Rustock and Waledac begin pumping spam again, botnet experts say the bad guys will be up to their old tricks -- with some new twists -- in 2011

After a brief hiatus at the end of 2010, botnets are back. And they might have a few new tricks up their sleeves this year, experts say.

During the past week or so, researchers at NetWitness have reported increased activity on the venerable Rustock botnet, while researchers at Websense flagged a new spam push from the well-known Waledac network. The new spikes in botnet traffic come less than a month after many security research labs reported a downturn in spam activity in the final quarter of last year.

As the new year rolls out, botnet experts say that even though there was a slowdown last quarter, they expect botnet operators to continue their booming business in 2011 -- with some new twists.

"I don't expect to see a lot that is totally new, but instead, incremental development and improvement," says Joe Stewart, director of malware research at SecureWorks. "Botnet technology has matured to some extent, so you don't see too many truly new ideas coming out. However, the politically motivated attackers have started some new trends, such as opt-in botnets [and] JavaScript cross-site bots. I expect these tools to become easier to use, more effective, and more resilient in 2011. It should be an interesting year."

In its blog, anti-malware technology vendor Dasient predicts 2011 will bring "a large botnet cyber war" that will be won by Zeus, the Trojan toolkit that became botnet operators' favorite mode of attack in 2010.

"2011 will likely be the year that large botnets will start more aggressively competing to sustain their growth, and users will get caught in the middle," the blog says. "Zeus has proven its ability to grow to sizes more significant than other botnets, and is also one of the more profitable botnets that target financial institutions. Zeus will hold its ground against other botnets that try to attack it."

As botnets become more common, many operators will choose to simply steal infected PCs from other operators, rather than try to build their own networks, says Neil Daswani, CTO of Dasient. This infighting became evident in 2010, when botnet operators began distributing malware that actually patches vulnerabilities on the PCs it infects, making it more difficult for other botnet operators to use those flaws to infect the same PCs. "That sort of thing will probably be even more evident in 2011, and some users may even begin to see its effects," Daswani says. "Once the user's machine is caught in a battle between botnets, it may begin to experience slowness and unreliability that botnets have generally been able to hide in the past."

Another emerging trend is the use of social networks for botnet command and control, says Christopher Elisan, senior research analyst at Damballa, which makes technology for defense against botnets and other advanced persistent threats. "In the past, operators did their command and control using IRC or other channels that were easier to bring down," Elisan says. "But you can't take down a social network."

All of the botnet experts cited the recent surge in politically motivated distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks, such as those in support of WikiLeaks, as a trend that will likely grow in 2011. As Stewart pointed out, some of these attacks are built on "opt-in" botnets that allow users who support a political cause to willingly instrument their PCs to participate. This botnet-building method can be difficult to defend against because the attacks emanate from devices and software not previously recognized to be associated with botnets.

DDoS attacks also change the way botnets are used, Elisan observes. While the operator of a large botnet typically parses out portions of the network to support a number of spam campaigns, a DDoS exploit might use all of the botnet's nodes in a single attack. In the case of the largest networks, this focused tactic can make a DDoS attack nearly impossible to defend against -- a sobering concept for large businesses, which will likely be the next targets, experts say.

On the other end of the spectrum, attackers are increasingly using smaller botnets to fly under the radar of detection mechanisms and infect specific targets, according to observers. "We have seen botnets as small as 10 computers -- the smaller it is, the less footprint it makes, and the harder it is to detect," Elisan says. Some small botnets might be given node names and addresses that are designed to look like everyday network designations, enabling them to hide in plain view of network administrators who don't know what to look for, he notes.

While smaller botnets might be useful for covert data gathering, larger botnets will continue to be used for broader attacks, such as spam campaigns and DDoS attacks, experts say. But are there uses for botnets that haven't yet been conceived?

"I'm convinced that we will see at least one new application for botnets this year that we haven't seen before," Daswani says. "We're already seeing some use of botnets for keystroke logging, and we expect we'll see more audio logging and Web logging as well. There's a lot going on in this space."

Have a comment on this story? Please click "Discuss" below. If you'd like to contact Dark Reading's editors directly, send us a message.

Tim Wilson is Editor in Chief and co-founder of Dark Reading.com, UBM Tech's online community for information security professionals. He is responsible for managing the site, assigning and editing content, and writing breaking news stories. Wilson has been recognized as one ... View Full Bio


Recommended Reading:

Comment  | 
Print  | 
More Insights
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View
COVID-19: Latest Security News & Commentary
Dark Reading Staff 5/28/2020
The Problem with Artificial Intelligence in Security
Dr. Leila Powell, Lead Security Data Scientist, Panaseer,  5/26/2020
10 iOS Security Tips to Lock Down Your iPhone
Kelly Sheridan, Staff Editor, Dark Reading,  5/22/2020
Register for Dark Reading Newsletters
White Papers
Cartoon Contest
Current Issue
How Cybersecurity Incident Response Programs Work (and Why Some Don't)
This Tech Digest takes a look at the vital role cybersecurity incident response (IR) plays in managing cyber-risk within organizations. Download the Tech Digest today to find out how well-planned IR programs can detect intrusions, contain breaches, and help an organization restore normal operations.
Flash Poll
Twitter Feed
Dark Reading - Bug Report
Bug Report
Enterprise Vulnerabilities
From DHS/US-CERT's National Vulnerability Database
PUBLISHED: 2020-05-28
CMS Made Simple through 2.2.14 allows XSS via a crafted File Picker profile name.
PUBLISHED: 2020-05-28
node-dns-sync (npm module dns-sync) through 0.2.0 allows execution of arbitrary commands . This issue may lead to remote code execution if a client of the library calls the vulnerable method with untrusted input. This has been fixed in 0.2.1.
PUBLISHED: 2020-05-28
Certain NETGEAR devices are affected by Missing SSL Certificate Validation. This affects R7000 through, and possibly R6120, R7800, R6220, R8000, R6350, R9000, R6400, RAX120, R6400v2, RBR20, R6800, XR300, R6850, XR500, and R7000P.
PUBLISHED: 2020-05-28
IBM Security Identity Governance and Intelligence 5.2.6 could allow a remote attacker to obtain sensitive information when a detailed technical error message is returned in the browser. This information could be used in further attacks against the system. IBM X-Force ID: 175484.
PUBLISHED: 2020-05-28
A denial of service vulnerability was reported in the firmware prior to version 1.01 used in Lenovo Printer LJ4010DN that could be triggered by a remote user sending a crafted packet to the device, causing an error to be displayed and preventing printer from functioning until the printer is rebooted...