Dark Reading is part of the Informa Tech Division of Informa PLC

This site is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them.Informa PLC's registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 8860726.

Risk

12/29/2010
10:46 PM
George V. Hulme
George V. Hulme
Commentary
50%
50%

Information Security Predictions 2011

Here's my take on what big events will shape information security in the year ahead. (Or, maybe not).

Here's my take on what big events will shape information security in the year ahead. (Or, maybe not).Prediction Number 1: Hackers Get Back To Basics. There are two trends that will come into play and full fruition in the next year that will force hackers back to the basics. First, the current enterprise defenses organizations employ: intrusion detection systems, firewalls, content filtering, data leak prevention, and especially anti-virus software become so effective that many of the less skilled attackers just can't get through them anymore. Second, a global law enforcement crackdown on criminal hacking turns out to be extremely successful.

All of this means that hackers who really aren't any good get discouraged - and just stop hacking- toward the second half of next year. Those criminal hackers who are good enough at their craft to make a living are all arrested and imprisoned. The result: those who are left bring hacking back to the golden age of cracking networks for the joy and mischief of it all.

Prediction Number 2: Cyberwar is obsolete before it gets started. Nations realize that no matter how well equipped their offensive cyber warfare capabilities become - they can't adequately defend their networks, data, and critical infrastructure from the attack of others. Most every nation agrees to enter into a cyber warfare treaty that outlaws nation-backed attacks on the critical infrastructure of other nations. Overall, the treaty is viewed by the world as a great success. However there is a serious increase in the Chinese unemployment rate as a result of the treaty. This is solved when Google hires the unemployed Chinese hackers to develop cool new beta applications as long as they agree to stop attacking the search engine giant.

Prediction Number 3: Zero-defect ultra-secure code becomes attainable. An application security vendor develops a secure coding framework that works with all development languages. When laying this framework on top of the development environment, all security related business logic and coding errors are flagged and code can't be compiled until properly remedied. Administrators around the globe cheer that they finally get their second Tuesday of every month back. Adobe and Microsoft stock soars.

Prediction Number 4: Security industry moves from FUD to data. That's right: The language of Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt is replaced by the language of science. Enterprises start analyzing the security related data they have, and start gathering more difficult to obtain data. Organizations start to study and share this data. The data is turned into useful information. They begin to test their hypothesis about which security practices work, and which do not. By 2013 the amount of budget spent annually on information security plummets by 55 percent while the security for most organizations rises exponentially.

Prediction Number 5: Operating System Stupid User Behavior Parser. One of the major operating systems becomes equipped with a Stupid User Behavior Parser, of SUBP. SUBP identifies links, files, applications, and web sites that the user shouldn't engage and blocks the user from being able to make the mistakes that jeopardize the security of their systems.

For my security and technology observations throughout the day, find me on Twitter.

 

Recommended Reading:

Comment  | 
Print  | 
More Insights
Comments
Newest First  |  Oldest First  |  Threaded View
COVID-19: Latest Security News & Commentary
Dark Reading Staff 8/14/2020
Lock-Pickers Face an Uncertain Future Online
Seth Rosenblatt, Contributing Writer,  8/10/2020
Hacking It as a CISO: Advice for Security Leadership
Kelly Sheridan, Staff Editor, Dark Reading,  8/10/2020
Register for Dark Reading Newsletters
White Papers
Video
Cartoon
Current Issue
7 New Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities That Could Put Your Enterprise at Risk
In this Dark Reading Tech Digest, we look at the ways security researchers and ethical hackers find critical vulnerabilities and offer insights into how you can fix them before attackers can exploit them.
Flash Poll
The Changing Face of Threat Intelligence
The Changing Face of Threat Intelligence
This special report takes a look at how enterprises are using threat intelligence, as well as emerging best practices for integrating threat intel into security operations and incident response. Download it today!
Twitter Feed
Dark Reading - Bug Report
Bug Report
Enterprise Vulnerabilities
From DHS/US-CERT's National Vulnerability Database
CVE-2020-17475
PUBLISHED: 2020-08-14
Lack of authentication in the network relays used in MEGVII Koala 2.9.1-c3s allows attackers to grant physical access to anyone by sending packet data to UDP port 5000.
CVE-2020-0255
PUBLISHED: 2020-08-14
** REJECT ** DO NOT USE THIS CANDIDATE NUMBER. ConsultIDs: CVE-2020-10751. Reason: This candidate is a duplicate of CVE-2020-10751. Notes: All CVE users should reference CVE-2020-10751 instead of this candidate. All references and descriptions in this candidate have been removed to prevent accidenta...
CVE-2020-14353
PUBLISHED: 2020-08-14
** REJECT ** DO NOT USE THIS CANDIDATE NUMBER. ConsultIDs: CVE-2017-18270. Reason: This candidate is a duplicate of CVE-2017-18270. Notes: All CVE users should reference CVE-2017-18270 instead of this candidate. All references and descriptions in this candidate have been removed to prevent accidenta...
CVE-2020-17464
PUBLISHED: 2020-08-14
** REJECT ** DO NOT USE THIS CANDIDATE NUMBER. ConsultIDs: none. Reason: This candidate was withdrawn by its CNA. Further investigation showed that it was not a security issue. Notes: none.
CVE-2020-17473
PUBLISHED: 2020-08-14
Lack of mutual authentication in ZKTeco FaceDepot 7B 1.0.213 and ZKBiosecurity Server 1.0.0_20190723 allows an attacker to obtain a long-lasting token by impersonating the server.